1. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a small area of low pressure located about 60 miles southwest of morgan city Louisiana. Environmental conditions are not favorable for development, and there is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone before it moves inland by tonight or Tuesday. This low is expected to move northward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the next day or so.

2. The tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea has become less organized overnight and the reconnaissance aircraft scheduled for this afternoon has been canceled. However, environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could still form over the next couple of days as this system moves northwestward at 15 mph. There is a medium chance, 40 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over the Cayman Islands, the yucatan peninsula, western Cuba and the northwestern Caribbean Sea over the next day or two.

3. A tropical wave over the far eastern Caribbean Sea is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the lesser antilles and adjacent waters. Upper-level winds are not favorable for significant development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the next couple of days. There is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible in the lesser antilles and Puerto Rico during the next couple of days.