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Watching the Gulf

3 Low-Potential Disturbances Now!

posted Jul 5, 2010 5:42 AM by desi ramsey

Ok Folks, Here's the Skinny on the very active Hurricane Season. So far nothing to threaten us directly. Stay tuned and we'll watch and inform ya! Hope everyone had a great 4th!

1. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a small area of low pressure located about 60 miles southwest of morgan city Louisiana. Environmental conditions are not favorable for development, and there is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone before it moves inland by tonight or Tuesday. This low is expected to move northward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the next day or so.

2. The tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea has become less organized overnight and the reconnaissance aircraft scheduled for this afternoon has been canceled. However, environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could still form over the next couple of days as this system moves northwestward at 15 mph. There is a medium chance, 40 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over the Cayman Islands, the yucatan peninsula, western Cuba and the northwestern Caribbean Sea over the next day or two.

3. A tropical wave over the far eastern Caribbean Sea is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the lesser antilles and adjacent waters. Upper-level winds are not favorable for significant development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the next couple of days. There is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible in the lesser antilles and Puerto Rico during the next couple of days.

Alex was expected to pound southern Texas on Wednesday and Thursday!

posted Jun 30, 2010 4:02 AM by desi ramsey

Alex was expected to pound southern Texas on Wednesday and Thursday, with heavy rains and strong winds.
The Category 1 hurricane was forecast to keep its strength in the western Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday as it tracked west-northwestward toward the Mexico and Texas border. Landfall was expected Wednesday night or early Thursday near the border. Thunderstorms containing heavy rain were expected to increase as Alex approached. Rainfall totals were expected in the 4 to 8 inch range across southern Texas and 6 to 10 plus range in the lower valley for Wednesday and Thursday morning. Winds were expected to increase to 40 to 50 mph with gusts to around 60 mph Wednesday afternoon. Overnight gusts could reach as high as 75 mph before subsiding Thursday afternoon.

Hurricane warnings for Mexico, US as Alex grows

posted Jun 29, 2010 11:11 AM by desi ramsey

AP

VILLAHERMOSA, MEXICO, JUN 29 - Hurricane warnings were posted Monday for a stretch of Gulf coast in southern Texas and northern Mexico as Tropical Storm Alex gained strength and appeared on track to become a hurricane before it makes landfall later this week.

Forecasters said the storm's path could push oil from the huge Gulf oil spill farther inland and disrupt cleanup efforts.

Alex was swirling through the Gulf of Mexico with winds near 65 mph (100 kph) Monday night on a path that would take it very near the Mexico-U.S. border sometime late Wednesday, said the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida. The storm is expected to become a hurricane Tuesday.

Conditions late Monday afternoon led the center to believe the storm will be less powerful than previously predicted but still likely to gain hurricane strength, forecaster Todd Kimberlain said.

Tropical storm-force winds extended up to 70 miles (110 kilometers) from the storm's center, and Alex was moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 kph).

Heavy rains in Mexico's southern Gulf coast state of Tabasco forced the evacuation of about 300 families from communities near the Usumacinta river.

The hurricane warnings extend from Baffin Bay, Texas south across the mouth of the Rio Grande river to La Cruz, Mexico.

The tropical storm's center wasn't expected to approach the area of the oil spill off Louisiana's coast, said Stacy Stewart, senior hurricane specialist at the National Hurricane Center. But Alex's outer wind field could push oil from the spill farther inland and hinder operations in the area, Stewart said early Monday.

The hurricane center said Alex is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rainfall over portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next few days. It warned of a dangerous storm surge along the coast near and to the north of where the storm makes landfall.

Alex caused flooding and mudslides that left at least five people dead in Central America over the weekend, though Belize and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula appeared largely unscathed.

It made landfall in Belize on Saturday night as a tropical storm and weakened into a depression on Sunday as it crossed the Yucatan Peninsula.

Mexico's northern Gulf coast braced for heavy rains, and forecasters said precipitation from Alex would keep falling on southern Mexico and Guatemala until Tuesday, raising the possibility of life-threatening floods and mudslides.

"It is a fact we are going to get very heavy rains," said Gov. Fidel Herrera of the Gulf coast state of Veracruz.

On Sunday, heavy rains prompted a landslide in northwestern Guatemala that dislodged a large rock outcropping, killing two men who had taken shelter from the storm underneath, according to the national disaster-response agency.

In El Salvador, Civil Protection chief Jorge Melendez said three people were swept away by rivers that jumped their banks. About 500 people were evacuated from their homes.

There were no immediate reports of damage to Mexico's resort-studded Caribbean coast.

When Alex became the first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, officials immediately worried what effect it could have on efforts to contain the millions of gallons of crude spewing into the northeastern part of the Gulf.

A cap has been placed over the blown-out undersea well, directing some of the oil to a surface ship where it is being collected or burned. Other ships are drilling two relief wells, projected to be done by August, which are considered the best hope to stop the leak.

Alex was centered about 505 miles (810 kms) southeast of Brownsville, Texas, on Monday evening. Its rains could reach Veracruz and the border state of Tamaulipas late Tuesday or Wednesday, the Hurricane Center said. 

Hurricane warnings for Mexico, US as Alex churns

posted Jun 29, 2010 5:58 AM by desi ramsey

Hurricane warnings have been issued for the coasts of south Texas and northeastern Mexico as Tropical Storm Alex gains strength.

Hurricane watch for Mexico, US as Alex strengthens

posted Jun 28, 2010 1:40 PM by desi ramsey

Hurricane watch for Mexico, US as Alex strengthens
AP VIA YAHOO! NEWSMonday, June 28, 2010
Hurricane watches were in effect Monday for a stretch of Gulf coast in southern Texas and northern Mexico as Tropical Storm Alex gained strength and appeared on track to become a Category 3 hurricane before it makes landfall later this week.

Did we say Rain!

posted Sep 12, 2009 6:14 AM by desi ramsey

Low-potential disturbance http://su.pr/5eF0GH A large area of disturbed weather covering much of the northern and western Gulf of Mexico ...

Rain, Rain....no Hurricane....

posted Sep 11, 2009 1:03 PM by desi ramsey

A low pressure system is over eastern Texas and the adjoining waters along the Texas Gulf of Mexico coast. This low is under high shear, about 25 knots, and is not tropical. Shear is expected to remain high, 20 - 30 knots, over the next five days. The low should remain non-tropical during this time, but will bring much-needed heavy rains to drought-stricken south Texas. Flooding problems may also occur, and flash flood watches have been posted for six counties in extreme South Texas.

South Texas Disturbance moving out into the Gulf.

posted Sep 10, 2009 4:21 PM by desi ramsey

South Texas Disturbance moving out into the Gulf. Please stayed tuned over the next few days. This probably will not greatly develop as it moves northeast. Please get you kit's and plans ready just in case. This will probably become a big rain maker..


Lucky so far!

posted Sep 4, 2009 4:39 AM by desi ramsey

We have been blessed so far this 2009 season, but now is this best time to get your family or business plan together!.......


Heads UP Everyone!

posted Aug 14, 2009 6:48 AM by desi ramsey

The GFDL computer model develops 90L in to a strong hurricane over the next five days: http://tinyurl.com/p5d7vz....

Let's all et our Kits Ready and Pray for a peaceful Season....!

And Congrats to the Bridge City Little League All Stars!....

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